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This quote about Simon is spot on and it is why I recommend his blog whenever I talk to another developer who is worried about LLM/AI advancement.

A leading light in this area is Simon Willison, an uber-geek who has been thinking and experimenting with LLMs ever since their appearance, and has become an indispensable guide for informed analysis of the technology. He has been working with AI co-pilots for ever, and his website is a mine of insights on what he has learned on the way. His detailed guide to how he uses LLMs to help him write code should be required reading for anyone seeking to use the technology as a way of augmenting their own capabilities. And he regularly comes up with fresh perspectives on some of the tired tropes that litter the discourse about AI at the moment.

It is tough to wade through both the hype and the doom while trying to keep tabs on "the latest in AI". Simon has an excitement for this stuff, but it is always balanced, realistic, and thoughtful.

The author then goes on to quote Tim O'Reilly on the subject of "what does this mean for programming jobs?"

As Tim O’Reilly, the veteran observer of the technology industry, puts it, AI will not replace programmers, but it will transform their jobs.

Which compliments the sentiment from Laurie Voss' latest post AI's effects on programming jobs which expects we will see a lot more programming jobs in the wake of an LLM transformation of the industry.

And as my friend Eric suggested, the Jevons Paradox may come in to play where programmers are the "resource" being more efficiently consumed which will, paradoxically, increase the demand for programmers.